The Mathematical Model for Typhoon Disaster Management

This chapter introduces the management methodology of modeling typhoon disaster with focuses on describing an ideal mathematical way to represent typhoon risk. The mathematical model is based on the pattern structure to estimate the relationship between different characteristics in a typhoon event. The prediction results are calculated by the predictor from the disaster event. The candidate indexes of each pattern are selected from important factors in the literatures. Based on the approach, the relationship between the environmental events, the ecosystem change, the economic loss, and the response measure can be evaluated. The model can be further improved as long as the database of the predictor becomes sufficient and the mathematical scheme is accurate. The development of fuzzy theory, neural-network, and intelligent system can be helpful for the future development of this system.

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Notes

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Acknowledgments

This study was supported by the following research projects awarded to DL Tang: (1) National Natural Sciences Foundation of China (31061160190, 40976091, NSFC-RFBR Project-41211120181 of DL Tang and D. Pozdnyakov); (2) Guangdong Sciences Foundation (2010B031900041, 8351030101000002); (3) Innovation Group Program of State Key Laboratory of Tropical Oceanography (LTOZZ1201).

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

1. Department of Environmental and Property Management, Jinwen University of Science and Technology, New Taipei, 23154, Taiwan, China Wang-Kun Chen
2. GuangDong University of Foreign Studies, Guangzhou, China Guang-Jun Sui
3. South China Sea Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou, China DanLing Tang

1. Wang-Kun Chen